Rolf Dobelli

If we could learn to recognize and evade the biggest errors in thinking – in our private lives, at work, or in government – we might experience a leap in prosperity. We need no extra cunning, no new ideas, no unnecessary gadgets, no frantic hyperactivity – all we need is less irrationality.

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1 Response to Rolf Dobelli

  1. shinichi says:

    The Art of Thinking Clearly

    by Rolf Dobelli

    We are all guilty of cognitive biases, simple errors we make in day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to identify them, we can avoid them and make better choices. The Art of Thinking Clearly shows that in order to lead happier, more prosperous lives, we don’t need extra cunning, new ideas, shiny gadgets, or more frantic activity—all we need is less irrationality. Simple, clear, and always surprising, this book will change the way you think and transform your decision making. From why you should not accept movie you don’t like, from why it’s so hard to predict the future to why you shouldn’t watch the news, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.


    01. Survivorship Bias
    02. Swimmer’s Body Illusion
    03. Clustering Illusion
    04. Social Proof
    05. Sunk Cost Fallacy
    06. Reciprocity
    07. Confirmation Bias (Part 1)
    08. Confirmation Bias (Part 2)
    09. Authority Bias
    10. Contrast Effect
    11. Availability Bias
    12. The It’ll-Get-Worse-Before-It-Gets-Better Fallacy
    13. Story Bias
    14. Hindsight Bias
    15. Overconfidence Effect
    16. Chauffeur Knowledge
    17. Illusion of Control
    18. Incentive Super-Response Tendency
    19. Regression to Mean
    20. Outcome Bias
    21. Paradox of Choice
    22. Liking Bias
    23. Endowment Effect
    24. Coincidence
    25. Groupthink
    26. Neglect of Probability
    27. Scarcity Error
    28. Base-Rate Neglect
    29. Gambler’s Fallacy
    30. The Anchor
    31. Induction
    32. Loss Aversion
    33. Social Loafing
    34. Exponential Growth
    35. Winner’s Curse
    36. Fundamental Attribution Error
    37. False Causality
    38. Halo Effect
    39. Alternative Paths
    40. Forecast Illusion
    41. Conjunction Fallacy
    42. Framing
    43. Action Bias
    44. Omission Bias
    45. Self-Serving Bias
    46. Hedonic Treadmill
    47. Self-Selection Bias
    48. Association Bias
    49. Beginner’s Luck
    50. Cognitive Dissonance
    51. Hyperbolic Discounting
    52. Because Justification
    53. Decision Fatigue
    54. Contagion Bias
    55. The Problem with Averages
    56. Motivation Crowding
    57. Twaddle Tendency
    58. Will Rogers Phenomenon
    59. Information Bias
    60. Effort Justification
    61. The Law of Small Numbers
    62. Expectations
    63. Simple Logic
    64. Forer Effect
    65. Volunteer’s Folly
    66. Affect Heuristic
    67. Introspection Illusion
    68. Inability to Close Doors
    69. Neomania
    70. Sleeper Effect
    71. Alternative Blindness
    72. Social Comparison Bias
    73. Primacy and Recency Effects
    74. Not-Invented-Here Syndrome
    75. The Black Swan
    76. Domain Dependence
    77. False-Consensus Effect
    78. Falsification of History
    79. In-Group Out-Group Bias
    80. Ambiguity Aversion
    81. Default Effect
    82. Fear of Regret
    83. Salience Effect
    84. House-Money Effect
    85. Procrastination
    86. Envy
    87. Personification
    88. Illusion of Attention
    89. Strategic Misrepresentation
    90. Overthinking
    91. Planning Fallacy
    92. Déformation Professionnelle
    93. Zeigarnik Effect
    94. Illusion of Skill
    95. Feature-Positive Effect
    96. Cherry Picking
    97. Fallacy of the Single Cause
    98. Intention-to-Treat Error
    99. News Illusion

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